If you were going to try to investigate this subject, you
would need to ask a number of questions.
- As far
as overall growth of the economy, you could use the usual macro-level statistics like
GDP and unemployment rates. You could ask how those statistics have varied as levels of
microcredit have changed.
However, just looking
at these numbers would be pretty crude as there are so many intervening variables that
could confuse the causal relation between the banks and the growth. Therefore, you
might want to concentrate more on impacts that could be directly attributable to these
banks.
In that case, you might want to
ask:
- How many small and medium scale enterprises
were financed by these banks? - How much money was borrowed
by such enterprises? - How many of these enterprises were
able to remain successful? How many defaulted on their loans or went out of
business? - If it is possible, you might want to ask how
many of those businesses would have been able to get financing from more traditional
banks. - Are there geographical clusters of businesses
receiving this funding? If so, did the unemployment rates or income rates of these
areas change during the time that microcredit
rose?
These will be some of the major questions
that you will need to address.
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